EVIDENCE, NOT VIBES

01The numbers

The headline claims, as published on turbo-rig.com and on the weekly stats pages. Each one traces to a row in the claim tables below.

02How this audit worked

03The window

The pages were compiled the morning of Sept 21. The audit pinned the exact compile moment — 2026-09-21 13:38 UTC — three ways: gate-log row #868 is stamped 21:38 local the night before with no later run before compile; the last merge counted for "Mon 21" is PR #402 at 13:37Z with the next at 15:49Z; GLM request #18,220 of the week landed one minute past the boundary.

04Claim tables

Every public claim, its verified value, its primary source, and the audit verdict. ✓ exact reproduces from the log; ✓ fixed was wrong pre-audit and corrected; ⚠ estimate is a labeled estimate consistent with the logs.

05Check it yourself — no machine access needed

Ten arithmetic identities that hold across the tables above. If any one fails, the dossier is wrong and should be discarded.

1.  181 + 687            = 868        gate verdicts
2.  791 + 53 + 24        = 868        reviewer runs
3.  126 + 10 + 3 + 1 + 1 = 141        PRs merged
4.  1+13+7+5+31+25+36+8  = 126        flagship daily chart sums to the repo total
5.  1+13+7+12+33+27+38+10= 141        fleet daily sums to the fleet total
6.  868 / 141            = 6.16       reviews per PR (mixed basis: gate 16–21 ÷ merges 14–21)
7.  4.162B + 0.0504B + 0.00125B ≈ 4.21B   tokens
8.  18,220 + 832 + 55    = 19,107     model requests
9.  48.2M / 50.9M        = 94.7%      gate reviewer tokens served from cache
10. 687/868 = 79.1% · 181/868 = 20.9%           REVISE / APPROVED split

06What the audit caught

The audit existed because the owner challenged the page. It found real defects. Publishing them is the point.

1. "6 repositories / four smaller repos" — actually 5 repositories, 3 smaller. An inflated count sitting next to a correct total. Fixed.
2. Marathon lanes #4–6 printed 15/14/13 (and the named page invented three lane names) — real values 19/18/16 for billing-demo / ticket9-region-scope / cotizador-tickets-13-14. Fixed.
3. "18,207 model requests" — a GLM-only figure presented as the 3-engine total. Fixed to 19,107.
4. Overstatements relabeled: "16 automations" (15), "12 scripts" (11), gate stats framed as 7 days when the log covers Sept 16→21 (now labeled "gate live since Sept 16"), token totals on a rolling basis labeled as the calendar week (4.23B → 4.21B), "peak 36 merges" in a fleet context (fleet = 38). All fixed or relabeled.

07Reproduce it

For anyone with access to the machine. Epoch bounds: 1789344000000 = 2026-09-14T00:00Z, 1789997880000 = 2026-09-21T13:38Z.

GATE=~/.local/state/turbo-rig/gate-log.jsonl   # schema:
# {ts, repo(=lane), target, reviewer, result, in, cached, out, cost_usd, duration_ms, model}
python3 - <<'PY'
import json, collections, os
GATE=os.path.expanduser("~/.local/state/turbo-rig/gate-log.jsonl")
rows=[json.loads(l) for l in open(GATE) if l.strip()][:868]
print(len(rows))                                                     # 868
print(collections.Counter(r['result'].startswith('GATE: APPROVED') for r in rows))  # False:687 True:181
print(collections.Counter(r['reviewer'] for r in rows))              # claude 791, codex 53, check 24
print(round(sum(r['cost_usd'] for r in rows),2))                     # 416.49
print(round(sum(r['duration_ms'] for r in rows)/3.6e6,2))            # 6.30 h
print(len({r['repo'] for r in rows}))                                # 104 lanes
PY

gh pr list -R <repo> --state merged --limit 500 --json number,mergedAt   # filter window, bucket UTC
git -C <flagship> log origin/main --since=2026-09-14T06:00Z --until=2026-09-21T13:38Z \
  --numstat --format= | awk 'NF==3 && $1!="-"{a+=$1} END{print a}'      # 72848
sqlite3 ~/.zcode/cli/db/db.sqlite "SELECT COUNT(*), ROUND(SUM(computed_total_tokens)/1e9,3)
 FROM model_usage WHERE started_at>=1789344000000 AND started_at<1789997880000
 AND model_id LIKE 'GLM%'"                                             # 18220 | 4.162

08Honest limits

09Certification

The artifacts this dossier certifies, pinned by hash. The gate log the 868-row slice came from: sha256 c97773f9d714a69410b6680bc37fe30ffc70b7620bd694a97bc5a0de59f76c7c (884 rows at audit time).